Market Cap Rise: Our system evaluates the highest Market Cap reached by the Prediction Token while the Prediction is running. The peak value reached determines the outcome, regardless of the market cap value at the end of the prediction.
Market Cap Fall: Our system evaluates the lowest Market Cap reached by the Prediction Token while the Prediction is running. The trough determines the outcome, regardless of the market cap value at the end of the prediction.
To give an example: You make a prediction on the rise of the Circle Token "FireCo" where you are given 3 potential options: <100k, 100k-200k, and >200k. If, at the end of the 7 day prediction period, the token has a market cap of 89k, but 3 days prior, the token had hit a max market cap of 117k, 100k-200k is considered the winning option.
A Prediction ends when one of the Prediction options is guaranteed and all other options are no longer possible.